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Looking
ahead, consumers do not anticipate an improvement in
economic growth nor in their incomes. And, they expect an
even tighter job market over the summer months
Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference
Board’s Consumer Research Center
The
Conference Board's
Consumer Confidence Index, which had
declined in March, lost more ground in April. The Index now
stands at 97.7 (1985=100), down from 103.0 in March. The Present
Situation Index declined to 113.6 from 117.0. The Expectations
Index declined to 87.2 from 93.7.
The Consumer Confidence Survey is based on a representative
sample of 5,000 U.S. households.
“Less robust current conditions and a more cautious outlook have
consumers feeling less confident in April than in March,” says
Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board’s Consumer
Research Center. “Despite the decline, the Present Situation
Index remains at levels indicative of a healthy economy.
However, the Expectations Index is now at its lowest level since
July 2003 when it registered 86.3. Looking ahead, consumers do
not anticipate an improvement in economic growth nor in their
incomes. And, they expect an even tighter job market over the
summer months.”
Consumers rated current conditions as less favorable in April
than in March. Although the percentage claiming business
conditions are “good” edged up to 27.0 percent from 26.3
percent, those claiming conditions are “bad” increased to 17.7
percent from 15.8 percent in March. The employment picture was
also somewhat mixed. Consumers saying jobs are “hard to get”
declined to 23.3 percent from 23.8 percent, but those claiming
jobs are “plentiful” declined to 20.4 percent from 21.8 percent.
Consumers’ outlook for the next six months declined in April for
the fourth consecutive time. Those anticipating business
conditions to improve fell to 17.8 percent from 19.3 percent,
while consumers expecting business conditions to worsen
increased to 9.7 percent from 8.2 percent. The outlook for the
labor market also softened in April. Those expecting more jobs
to become available in the coming months slipped to 14.2 percent
from 15.1 percent, while those expecting fewer jobs rose to 18.0
percent from 15.8 percent. The proportion of consumers
anticipating their incomes to improve in the months ahead edged
down to 16.3 percent from 17.2 percent last month.
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