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The
Conference Board’s Help-Wanted Advertising Index – a key
barometer of America's job market – dipped one point in
December. The Index now stands at 38, down from 39 the previous
month. The Index was 39 one year ago.
In the last three months, help-wanted advertising increased in
seven of the nine U.S. regions. The largest increases occurred
in the New England (13.8%), East North Central (9.6%), and West
North Central (6.8%) regions.
Says Conference Board Economist Ken Goldstein: "The economy
continued to build up momentum in the fourth quarter, with the
Leading Economic Indicators suggesting the trend would carry
into the first quarter of 2004. Consumers remain optimistic
about near-term economic prospects, and about job growth. With
want-ad volume starting to rise nationally, consumers are
unlikely to be disappointed. Business nervousness, especially
about the lack of pricing, remains an issue – as evidenced in
the latest readings on orders for durable goods, which were
unchanged in December. Business executives continue to express
caution about investing, as well as new hiring. This is the
hurdle the building economic momentum has to jump over."
The Conference Board surveys help-wanted advertising volume in
51 major newspapers across the country every month. Because ad
volume has proven to be sensitive to labor market conditions,
this measure provides a gauge of change in the local, regional
and national supply of jobs.
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Dec. 03 |
Nov. 03 |
Oct. 03 |
Dec. 02 |
| National Index |
38 |
39 |
37 |
39 |
Proportion of Labor
Markets
With Rising Want-Ad Volume |
33% |
75% |
37% |
37% |
| Unemployment Rate |
5.7% |
5.9% |
6.0% |
6.0% |
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