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“Employers are in a wait-and-see mode when it
comes to hiring"
Ken Goldstein
Conference Board Economist
The Conference Board's Help-Wanted Advertising
Index – a key barometer of America's job market – was 37 in
October, unchanged from the previous month. The Index was 40 a
year ago.
In the last three months, help-wanted
advertising declined in seven of the nine U.S. regions. Steepest
declines occurred in the Mountain (-10.4%), Middle Atlantic
(-9.3%) and South Atlantic (-7.0%) regions.
Says Conference Board Economist Ken Goldstein:
“Employers are in a wait-and-see mode when it comes to hiring.
Although consumers continue to feel that jobs are hard to get
right now, they do expect the job climate to improve over the
next six months. Leading indicator data are also in-line with
trends in consumer confidence and job advertising. The
Coincident Economic Index (the best economic measure of where we
are) started to improve in May and continued to advance through
October. The Leading Economic Index now suggests the economy
will continue rising into early 2004. But overall, job
advertising volume is not moving up yet, awaiting more positive
news.”
The Conference Board surveys help-wanted
advertising volume in 51 major newspapers across the country
every month. Because ad volume has proven to be sensitive to
labor market conditions, this measure provides an important
gauge of change in the local, regional and national supply of
jobs.
Latest seasonally-adjusted
results follow:
| |
Oct 03 |
Sep 03 |
Aug 03 |
Oct 02 |
| National Index |
37 |
37 |
37 |
40 |
Proportion of Labor
Markets
With Rising Want-Ad Volume |
37% |
39% |
49% |
25% |
| Unemployment Rate |
6.0% |
6.1% |
6.1% |
5.8% |
The next release will be Tuesday, December
30, at 10:00 a.m. ET. |
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The next release will be Tuesday, December 30,
at 10:00 a.m. ET.
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