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Almost one third of Americans (31%)
feel insecure about their jobs, and that insecurity is causing a third of them
to reduce their use of credit, according to the Cambridge Consumer Credit Index.
Nearly half of Americans (46%) feel very secure about their jobs, while 8%
report being unemployed and 16% are retired.
One third of Americans (33%) have decreased their use of credit
or their willingness to take on new debt because of their feelings of job
insecurity. Only 9% say they are more willing to take on debt because of their
feelings of job security. More than half of Americans (57%) say their current
employment situation is having no impact on their credit usage. By gender, more
men (48%) felt secure about their jobs than women (43%). Predictably, those with
the highest incomes of over $75,000 a year feel the most secure about their jobs
(63%), while only 26% of those earning under $25,000 a year feel secure in their
jobs.
"Even though the official unemployment rate is 6.1%, the
percentage of Americans who feel threatened by the possibility of a layoff (33%)
is clearly much greater. This fear is causing many Americans to hold back on
their use of their credit cards and dampening their willingness to take on more
debt, which is restraining economic growth to some extent. If the economic
growth being reported by gains in the Gross Domestic Product start translating
into more news of job gains instead of layoffs, this fear may abate and
consumers might start to spend more freely again," says Jordan Goodman,
spokesperson for the Index.
These findings are the result of monthly nationwide telephone
poll of 1000+ adults conducted by ICR/International Communications Research in
the past week, sponsored by the Debt Relief Clearinghouse.
The overall Cambridge Consumer Credit Index fell by 3 points in
October to 58. The Index was unchanged in the "last month" question, up 2 points
in the "next month" question and down a sharp 10 points in the "next six month"
question. The "Reality Gap," which is the difference between the amount of debt
consumers say they will pay off in the next month versus the amount of debt they
actually paid off a month later, rose slightly to 15 percentage points from 14
points in September. A month ago, 82% of Americans planned to pay off debt,
while a month later 67% actually did so.
The Cambridge Consumer Credit Index is a forward looking
economic indicator gauging consumer spending and debt. It is released on the
fifth business day of every month to coincide with the Federal Reserve Board's
G19 release of consumer credit outstanding data.
In conjunction with the Index, the Cambridge Credit Counseling
Corp. is releasing its monthly survey of people who have called in for credit
counseling services over the past month. Cambridge representatives ask callers
for the primary reason that they found it necessary to get help with their debts
now. Of the 891 people who answered, this was the order of their responses:
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I am frustrated with high bank rates and fees (33.8%)
-
My income has been reduced from a lower salary, less overtime or
layoff (22.9%)
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I want to improve my ability to achieve future financial goals
like
buying a house or saving for retirement (12.8%)
-
I got into too much debt by overspending (10.8%)
-
My lack of financial education caused me to take on too much
debt
(6.8%)
-
Other reasons (6.4%)
-
Large medical expenses forced me to take on huge debts (4.4%)
-
My recent divorce or widowhood forced me to take on large debts
(2.0%)
The Cambridge Consumer Credit Index number is a composite of
these three questions:
1. In the past month, have you taken on more debt or paid off
debt? The Index reads 66 on this question, unchanged from September.
In October, 33% of Americans say they have taken on more debt,
with 21% taking on a little and 12% taking on a lot more debt. Conversely, 67%
of Americans have paid off debt, with 46% paying off a little and 21% paying off
a lot.
2. In the next month, do you anticipate taking on more debt or
paying off debt?
The Index reads 38 on this question, an increase of two points
from September.
In October, 19% plan to take on more debt, with 5% planning to
take on a lot and 14% planning to take on a little debt. Conversely, 81% plan to
pay off debt, with 66% paying off a little and 15% paying off a lot. In
September, 18% planned to take on debt and 82% planned to pay off debt.
3. In the next six months, do you expect to take on debt because
you are thinking of making a major purchase such as a car, education, appliance,
medical procedure, furniture or carpeting?
The Index reads 70 on this question, a drop of ten points from
September.
In October, 34% of Americans plan to take on more debt to make
such purchases, with 9% taking on a lot of debt and 25% taking on a little more
debt. In contrast, 65% of Americans plan to pay off debt in the next six months,
with 51% expecting to pay off a little and 14% expecting to pay off a lot. In
September, 40% of Americans planned to take on more debt, while 60% planned to
pay off debt.
"The 10-point drop in intentions to take on more debt over to
make major purchases over the next 6 months shows that consumers are becoming
increasingly cautious. The Cambridge survey is finding similar results to the
recent drops reported in consumer confidence surveys by the Conference Board and
University of Michigan," says Jordan Goodman, spokesperson for the Index.
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