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Key market
indicators gave ground just before the storms and flooding
Ken Goldstein, Labor Economist at The Conference Board
The Help-Wanted Advertising Index - measure of job offerings in major newspapers across America -
declined four points in August. The Index now stands at 35, down
from 39 in July. It was 37 one year ago.
In the last three months, help-wanted advertising declined in
seven of the nine U.S. regions. Steepest declines occurred in
the West South Central (-19.4%) and West North Central (-10.8%)
regions.
Says Ken Goldstein, Labor Economist at The Conference Board:
"Key market indicators gave ground just before the storms and
flooding. While print want-ad volume rose a bit in June and
July, it sagged to May levels in August. Consumers' concerns
about finding a new job were also essentially the same in August
as in May, but declined noticeably in September, after the
hurricanes and flooding. Latest readings show that job growth
has been downsized significantly. Before the storms, there was a
chance for 150,000 to 175,000 jobs per month over the near term.
However, prospects may now be reduced by as much as half of
that."
But online want-ad volume continued to edge higher. The
Conference Board Help-Wanted OnLine Data Series™ reports the
number of new online job ads rose to 2,130,000 in the month of
August. This latest monthly figure is up over 4 percent from
early summer (June 2005), with gains in eight of the nine major
regions of the country.
The Conference Board surveys help-wanted print advertising
volume in 51 major newspapers across the country every month.
Because ad volume has proven to be sensitive to labor market
conditions, this measure provides a gauge of change in the
local, regional and national supply of jobs.
| |
August 05 |
July 05 |
June 05 |
August 04 |
|
National
Index |
35 |
39 |
38 |
37 |
Proportion
of Labor Markets
With Rising Want-Ad Volume |
20% |
71% |
51% |
47% |
|
Unemployment Rate |
4.9% |
5.0% |
5.0% |
5.4% |
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