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"Despite the outsized job gain in
October, the measure of labor demand going forward remains
relatively flat"
Ken Goldstein, Conference Board Economist

The
Conference Board's
Help-Wanted Advertising Index - a key barometer of America's job
market - increased one point in October. The Index now stands at
37. It was 36 one year ago.
In the last three months, help-wanted advertising declined in
six of the nine U.S. regions. Largest declines occurred in the
Mountain (-7.2%), East North Central (-5.9%) and South Atlantic
(-5.3%) regions. Help-wanted advertising increased in the New
England (13.1%), West South Central (5.5%) and East South
Central (1.6%) regions.
Says Conference Board Economist Ken Goldstein: "Despite the
outsized job gain in October, the measure of labor demand going
forward remains relatively flat, as does the number signing up
for their unemployment checks. Both initial jobless claims and
want-ad volume have remained flat since early 2004. Except for
two outbursts of job growth (one in the spring and one in
October) the lack of steady improvement in employment has
weakened consumer confidence, especially with respect to where
the labor market is going in the next six months. Moreover, with
the Leading Economic Index declining for five straight months,
prospects are that the economy will be growing too slowly to
allow the labor market more than an occasional good month in the
first half of 2005."
The Conference Board surveys help-wanted advertising volume
in 51 major newspapers across the country every month. Because
ad volume has proven to be sensitive to labor market conditions,
this measure provides a gauge of change in the local, regional
and national supply of jobs.
| Latest seasonally-adjusted
results |
Oct. 04 |
Sept. 04 |
Aug. 04 |
Oct. 03 |
| National Index |
37 |
36 |
37 |
36 |
Proportion of
Labor Markets
With Rising Want-Ad Volume |
71% |
25% |
49% |
35% |
| Unemployment
Rate |
5.5% |
5.4% |
5.4% |
6.0% |
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